Chunks
“The samples we need come from rare, clay-rich deposits. Obtaining samples can be a simple case of hammering off chunks from a cliff, as in New Zealand, but is sometimes more of a challenge. We have uncovered very detailed and valuable tropical climate records from Tanzania, where sediments once laid down under the ocean have now been uplifted onto the continental margin. Because the rocks are very weathered near the surface, it is necessary to use mobile truck mounted rigs to drill down up to 150m below the land surface. We have drilled nearly 30 holes, sometimes in remote areas, often camping in the bush and making our own geological maps as we go along.“
The results suggest an Eocene world that was much warmer than the present, and that this warmth was indeed driven by much higher greenhouse gas concentrations than currently exist. "Tropical" climate conditions extended into the polar regions, while the tropics themselves were considerably hotter than present. Pearson believes that these regions may at times have become too hot for many forms of life to survive: “including many plants and in some instances the very plankton that we use to reconstruct climate!”
“Recent results from New Zealand have been use to follow natural climate cycles on timescales of tens of thousands of years. We can deduce from the foram shells and other evidence that there was little ice on the planet and therefore no glacial-interglacial cycle like there is now, but the world did warm and cool cyclically as the orbits changed, even in a wholly greenhouse climate state.”
Researchers think that the high CO
2 levels were caused by long term geological variations in the carbon cycle. In the Eocene large amounts of previously deposited limestone were being subducted into the Earth's mantle and consequently volcanic emissions above the subduction zones were high in CO
2. The world was much less mountainous; the great Himalaya & Alpine and Andean chains were only beginning to rise. The rise of these mountains promoted the weathering of silicate rocks by carbonic acid rain, eventually pulling carbon out of the atmosphere - which was deposited as limestone. These shifts in the carbon cycle took tens of millions of years and caused long-term global cooling, eventually bringing on the current ice age (albeit in interglacial mode just now).
Although the Cardiff group does not conduct global climate model simulations, they collaborate with climate modellers who do. These (for example Matthew Huber at Purdue University) use the latest computer models, the same as those being developed to predict the future. The process of data gathering and model simulation has been a two-way conversation as we try to understand how the ancient planet worked - including factors like the ocean current systems, atmospheric circulation, and solar and greenhouse forcing.
Pearson told the BA: “It has been difficult to 'fit' the geological evidence from the Eocene to the output of the climate models. One problem is that to warm the poles and mid latitudes sufficiently, the modelled tropics tend to get very hot. Alternatively, it is difficult to make the poles as warm as they appear to have been. However our recent data from Tanzania and Java show much warmer temperatures than previously reconstructed (thanks to the clay and our un-recrystallised forams), narrowing the gap between data and models. The most recent models suggest that very extreme greenhouse forcing can fit most of the available evidence.”